Steve Jobs kamwe mubvunzurudzo yake akabvuma kuti "anovimba nevanomanikidzi vemagariro nemagariro avo ezvenguva refu kupfuura vaongorori vemisika." Izvo nyika inoonekwa sei mumakore makumi maviri nemashanu uye kunze kwekufanozivikanwa anozivikanwa mumunda wekufambira mberi kwekwenyanzvi uye sayenzi, nzvimbo
Ray Kurzweil
IAmerican futurist yakave yakakurumbira munyika nekuda kwehuporofita hwayo hwakarurama hunobva pane izvozvi zvinoitika mune sayenzi uye teknolojia. Iyi "inyanzvi yekugadzirwa kwezvinhu" yakatarisa kwete "kukunda" kwenyika ine telefoni dzemasero, feksi, robotics neInternet, asi zvakare yakafanotaura kuputsika kweU.SR uye kukundikana kwehurumende dzehurumende kuhutano hwepasi rose. Nhasi, zvaanofanirwa mberi munguva yemberi zvinotoshamisa. Anoona hupenyu hwemasayendisiti nekufambisa mberi mune ramangwana sezvinotevera:
- Energy resources. Mumakore mashomanana anotevera, simba rezuva richapedza zvachose nzvimbo yemafuta nemafuta. Maererano nezvakafanotaurwa naKirzweil, mari shoma ye watt yezuva inotanga kuwedzera mafuta anokosha, gasi nemarasha. Mukuwedzera, kushandiswa kwemazuva akawanda kwemazuva emhepo kuchaita kuti zvive zvisina maturo kushandisa mashizha emagetsi.
Imba, yakagadzirirwa mashizha ezuva, ichava nesimba-kuzvigadzirira. Mazhinji emichina uye magetsi anogona kudyarwa kubva kune zuva kana mamwe mamwe magetsi emagetsi, kushamwaridzana kwezvakatipoteredza uye kuzvimirira kunze kwezvinhu uye zviratidzo. Izvi zvinotarisirwa kubva kuna Ray Kurzweil zvinogona kuva zvechokwadi pakupera kwe2020.
- Medicine. Imakore gumi ichange ichishandurwa mune zvemishonga. Vakuru "vanachiremba" vachava nanorobots, vane mazano makuru. Kubatsira ivo vachakwanisa "kusingaperi", "kurarama" mumuviri womunhu. Mukukwanisa kwavo kuchava mabasa ekuendesa zvokudya kune masero uye kubvisa zvinhu zvinokuvadza vasati vadzidza basa reropi. Kwemakore gumi vachanodzidza kutarisa hutano hwevanhu, vachifamba nemidziyo yeropa, nekudzivirira njodzi dzezvirwere zvakakomba. Kurzweil inogadzirira vanhu nokuda kwekuti munguva yemberi zvirwere zvose zvichapera uye hupenyu huchava hurumende yehupenyu.
Kunyange zvazvo nguva yehupenyu hurefu inoratidzika isingakwanisi kune vakawanda, zvinopfuura zvingaitika nhasi. Vanachiremba vekuEurope vachitaura nezvechizvarwa chitsva, umo mune vana vane mazera makuru anokwanisa. Vane mikana yose yekurarama nepfungwa dzakanaka, kurangarira uye hutano hwemakore kusvika kumakore 150. Vanachiremba vezvechiremba vanoti vanhu ava mumakore avo makumi mapfumbamwe nemashanu vachabva vari mumagariro evanhu uye zvepabonde nhasi vane "makumi mana" vane makore makumi mana.
- Uropi. Pakazosvika 2030, mutsetse pakati pemakombiyuta nehupenyu husingaoneki. Ipakombiyuta pachayo ichava chinhu chakadai sechiripo chisingaverengeki mubatsiri wekubatsira, kutaurirana nezvo zvichaitika kuburikidza nokutaura uye zviratidzo. Uyezve, Ray Kurzweil ane chivimbo chokuti zvizhinji zvekufunga kwevanhu zvingaguma kuva "zvipenyu." Uropi huchagamuchira mikana yenguva yakaoma disk - ruzivo runorasikirwa kuburikidza neamnesia kana kuchinja kwehupenyu hunogona kugadziriswa nyore nyore nekushambadza mashoko asina kukwana mumusoro.
- Uchenjeri hunobatsira. Pakazosvika 2040, kusanzwisisika kwezvakagadzirwa kwehupenyu kuchava nesimba zvikuru zvokuti mafungiro evanhu evanhu acharasikirwa nezvose zvakanaka kune robotics. Kubva kumusha vabatsiri mashandisi akachenjera achaenda kumativi ese ehupenyu. Somuenzaniso, vachava vatenzi vakakwana vekutakura uye zvekurima. Nanotechnology ichabuda mumugwagwa mukuru uye irege kuisa pangozi yekufambisa motokari nevanhu mumigwagwa, uye zvigadzirwa zvezvokudya zvichange zvakasikwa kubva kumhepo yakatete, zvisinei, sezvimwe zvose.
- Nanosystems. Ray Kurzweil mubasa rake rezvesayenzi anotaura pfungwa yokuti mafungiro epfungwa achabatana nemunhu nerubatsiro rwekugadzirisa, uye pakupera kwemazana makumi maviri ezana remakore ekumazana zvichamiririra chikamu chikuru chevanhu venyika. Zvechokwadi, kune avo vasingadi kubvongodza mararamiro avo, asi ivo, sevashoma vasina zvienzanidzo, vachava pakuguma kwekupera. Uye kana iwe uine ruzivo, mabhoti acho achaapinza muBhuku reRudzi rwevanhu, uye achave munzira dzose dzekutonga, semuenzaniso we "huMwari" wakavabereka. Asi zvichida hausi mukana ...
Kufanotaura kunofadza kweramangwana riri kure kubva kune ramangwana
Jan Pearson, futurist, Musoro we Futurizon (UK)
"Pakazosvika 2050, teknolojia yekombiyuta ichasvika pamwero wakakwirira zvokuti pfungwa yevanhu inogona kutamiswa zvachose kumutokarikiti. Panguva yekufa kwomunhu, chigadzirwa chakakosha chichaongorora ubongo hwomunhu anenge afa, zvakare kunyora kunetseka kwemagetsi emagetsi eurotoni muuropi hwake mumuenzaniso weeuroni mumakombiyuta. Kuvonga uku "kugadzirisa", munhu, asingazivi nguva yekufa, achanyatsopinda muchokwadi chaiyo, kwaanogona kurarama nekusingaperi. "
Richard Watson, futurist (Great Britain)
"Technologies ichakurumidza kuwedzera kukura kwechisimba. Chimirira kuuya kwezvipupuri zvinokwanisa kuenzanisirwa mufananidzo chaiwo. Uye mhombwe, uye vakaurawa muna 2050 vachavapo paIndaneti panguva ye web 4.0. "
Juan Enrique, futurist, mutungamiriri wekambani Biotechnomy (USA)
"Pasi pesimba repaIndaneti, purasitiki itsva yeuropi inowanikwa. Ruzivo ruzivo runoyerera, ruviriro rwavo mune zvakasiyana-siyana, nzira dzakasiyana dzekuwana kwazviri - izvi zvose hazvibvumi kuti zvikanganwe. Pamusoro pezinga risingazivi, chero ruzivo ruchagara nesu. Izvo zvisingaiti zvekudzivirirwa uye ruzivo rwakakura rwehuwandu huchachinja humwe huro hwehuropi: hunogona "kuronga" humwe humwe mabasa kupfuura ikozvino. IInternet iyo inotanga kutitungamirira isu uye zvatinokwanisa, uye kwete isu Indaneti. "
Igor Bestuzhev-Lada, futurologist, sociologist (Russia)
"Pachava nehurongwa hwemakombiyuta, kubva paudiki, uye zvichida kunyange asati aberekwa mwana, inenge yakarongedzwa nemunhu weku choreric kana kuti ane ropa, bhuruni rine meso ebhuruu kana bvudzi rakachena rine mamita makumi masere. Munhu acharaira kuva munhu, enda kune imwe nzvimbo. Panguva ino, munhu achava muvengi wega. "